کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
1152940 1489899 2010 6 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The asymptotic efficiency of improved prediction intervals
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات آمار و احتمال
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
The asymptotic efficiency of improved prediction intervals
چکیده انگلیسی

We consider the Barndorff-Nielsen and Cox (1994, p. 319) method of modifying an estimative prediction interval to obtain an improved prediction interval with better conditional coverage properties. The parameter estimator, on which this improved interval is based, is assumed to have the same asymptotic distribution as the conditional maximum likelihood estimator. This improved interval depends strongly on the asymptotic conditional bias of this estimator, which can be very sensitive to small changes in this estimator. We show, however, that the asymptotic efficiency of this improved prediction interval does not depend on this bias.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Statistics & Probability Letters - Volume 80, Issues 17–18, 1–15 September 2010, Pages 1348–1353
نویسندگان
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