Sustainability of electricity supply technology portfolio

Eighteen current and 18 future technologies have been analysed including nuclear as well as fossil and renewable technologies. Total costs were estimated for these technologies providing a clear ranking with nuclear having the lowest costs and some of the renewables showing remarkable cost reductions until 2030. This ranking is partially controversial mainly due to the limited representation of social aspects in the total costs. The results of MCDA-applications involving elicitation of preferences from a relatively homogeneous stakeholder group, i.e. 85 employees of the Axpo Group (including also NOK, EGL, CKW and Axpo IT), are summarized. In addition, sensitivity of technology ranking to preference profiles is demonstrated. Broader consideration of social factors favours renewables and depending on the specifics of preference profiles may lower the ranking of nuclear. Further applications of the MCDA-approach with various stakeholder groups are planned.