Sustainability of the energy sector in the Mediterranean region

Energy and climate change is a key priority issue mentioned by the Mediterranean Strategy for Sustainable Development (MSSD) which explicitly claims that “Control, reduce or stabilize GhG (Greenhouse Gas) emissions” is a crucial target for Mediterranean countries. This paper uses the integrated assessment model IFs (International Futures) to implement a scenario analysis to investigate the mitigation potential of Mediterranean regions. It analyzes if the Mediterranean regions will be able to reach the MSSD climate change target and recommends amendments of the MSSD to implement with effectiveness climate change policies in the Mediterranean area.

► In the majority of scenarios emissions in Mediterranean countries are not decreasing over 2020.
► Even in scenarios incorporating multiple policy actions emissions may not be decreasing over 2020.
► The Mediterranean Strategy for Sustainable Development needs to go beyond the 2015 deadline to promote climate policies.
► The Mediterranean Strategy for Sustainable Development is key to promote coordinated multiple actions to reduce emissions.
► Partial interventions could compromise the effectiveness of the overall regional emissions stabilization policies.