کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
2453611 | 1554230 | 2006 | 10 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Spatial distribution of foot-and-mouth disease in Pakistan estimated using imperfect data
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک
علوم دامی و جانورشناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله

چکیده انگلیسی
We estimated the spatial distribution of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Pakistan; we used a probability co-kriging model and the number of FMD outbreaks reported between 1996 and 2000 by Pakistan to the Office International des Epizooties. We used a k-Bessel model and small-ruminant and human densities as surrogate covariates for the population at risk and for livestock markets and movements, respectively. Compared to no or only one covariate, the co-kriging model with both densities provided the best fit to independently obtained data on the spatial distribution of virus isolations (PÂ =Â 0.57). The estimated probability of an FMD outbreak per 25Â km2 cell ranged from 0.017 to 0.812, with the maximum relative probability of 47.8 (0.812/0.017). Areas with the highest relative probability of having an FMD outbreak were located in the Punjab region; this is a major animal-production area located along a traditional international animal-trade route.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 76, Issues 3â4, 17 October 2006, Pages 280-289
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 76, Issues 3â4, 17 October 2006, Pages 280-289
نویسندگان
Andres M. Perez, Mark C. Thurmond, Tim E. Carpenter,