کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
2453762 1110126 2006 20 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم دامی و جانورشناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
A model of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia transmission dynamics in East Africa
چکیده انگلیسی

The dynamics of contagious bovine pleuropneumonia (CBPP) transmission vary widely between livestock production systems. This paper describes the development of a homogeneous, stochastic, compartmental model for CBPP transmission in pastoral herds of East Africa. The model was built using parameter estimates based on data published in the literature and on observations of livestock owners obtained through participatory research. The basic reproduction number for CBPP in southern Sudan was estimated to range from 3.2 to 4.6. The homogeneous model indicates that the critical community size for the persistence of CBPP falls within the typical herd sizes for pastoral communities in East Africa suggesting that individual isolated herds are capable of maintaining infection indefinitely. Vaccination alone with currently available vaccines was unlikely to eradicate the disease.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 73, Issue 1, 16 January 2006, Pages 55–74
نویسندگان
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