Population dynamics: Variance and the sigmoid activation function

This paper demonstrates how the sigmoid activation function of neural-mass models can be understood in terms of the variance or dispersion of neuronal states. We use this relationship to estimate the probability density on hidden neuronal states, using non-invasive electrophysiological (EEG) measures and dynamic casual modelling. The importance of implicit variance in neuronal states for neural-mass models of cortical dynamics is illustrated using both synthetic data and real EEG measurements of sensory evoked responses.