A choice experiment on alternative fuel vehicle preferences of private car owners in the Netherlands

• Results of a choice experiment on preferences of Dutch private car owners for alternative fuel vehicles.
• Driving range and refueling times strongly determine preferences for electric and fuel cell cars.
• Consumer preferences for AFVs and AFV characteristics are heterogeneous to a large extent.
• Preferences are affected by weight of the car, owning a caravan, annual mileage and commuting frequency.
• Early adopters of electric and fuel cell cars may be found among people with low annual mileage.

This paper presents results of an online stated choice experiment on preferences of Dutch private car owners for alternative fuel vehicles (AFVs) and their characteristics. Results show that negative preferences for alternative fuel vehicles are large, especially for the electric and fuel cell car, mostly as a result of their limited driving range and considerable refueling times. Preference for AFVs increases considerably with improvements on driving range, refueling time and fuel availability. Negative AFV preferences remain, however, also with substantial improvements in AFV characteristics; the remaining willingness to accept is on average € 10,000–€ 20,000 per AFV. Results from a mixed logit model show that consumer preferences for AFVs and AFV characteristics are heterogeneous to a large extent, in particular for the electric car, additional detour time and fuel time for the electric and fuel cell car. An interaction model reveals that annual mileage is by far the most important factor that determines heterogeneity in preferences for the electric and fuel cell car. When annual mileage increases, the preference for electric and fuel cell cars decreases substantially, whilst the willingness to pay for driving range increases substantially. Other variables such as using the car for holidays abroad and the daily commute also appear to be relevant for car choice.