کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
385658 660869 2011 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Using partial least squares and support vector machines for bankruptcy prediction
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر هوش مصنوعی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Using partial least squares and support vector machines for bankruptcy prediction
چکیده انگلیسی

The evaluation of corporate financial distress has attracted significant global attention as a result of the increasing number of worldwide corporate failures. There is an immediate and compelling need for more effective financial distress prediction models. This paper presents a novel method to predict bankruptcy. The proposed method combines the partial least squares (PLS) based feature selection with support vector machine (SVM) for information fusion. PLS can successfully identify the complex nonlinearity and correlations among the financial indicators. The experimental results demonstrate its superior predictive ability. On the one hand, the proposed model can select the most relevant financial indicators to predict bankruptcy and at the same time identify the role of each variable in the prediction process. On the other hand, the proposed model’s high levels of prediction accuracy can translate into benefits to financial organizations through such activities as credit approval, and loan portfolio and security management.

Research highlights
► Our model provides an attractive alternative to predict bankruptcy.
► Our model improves the accuracy level of the bankruptcy prediction.
► Our model investigates how each financial indicator affects the bankruptcy of the companies.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Expert Systems with Applications - Volume 38, Issue 7, July 2011, Pages 8336–8342
نویسندگان
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