Mass appraisal of residential apartments: An application of Random forest for valuation and a CART-based approach for model diagnostics

To the best knowledge of authors, the use of Random forest as a potential technique for residential estate mass appraisal has been attempted for the first time. In the empirical study using data on residential apartments the method performed better than such techniques as CHAID, CART, KNN, multiple regression analysis, Artificial Neural Networks (MLP and RBF) and Boosted Trees. An approach for automatic detection of segments where a model significantly underperforms and for detecting segments with systematically under- or overestimated prediction is introduced. This segmentational approach is applicable to various expert systems including, but not limited to, those used for the mass appraisal.

► Random forest proves to be a very competitive mass appraisal technique.
► An approach for detecting segments in which valuation models underperform is proposed.
► An approach for detecting segments with under- or overestimated prediction is proposed.