Survival Analysis of Microfracture in the Osteoarthritic Knee—Minimum 10-Year Follow-up

PurposeThe aim of this study was to evaluate the survival of microfractures in patients with degenerative osteoarthritic knees and to analyze the factors affecting length of time before total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is performed.MethodsThis study reviewed 134 knees in 124 patients in whom microfracture was performed and for whom a minimum of 10 years of follow-up data were available. Mean follow-up was 11.2 years. The survival rate was evaluated. Failure was defined as the need for TKA. Another definition of failure was substantial symptoms in a patient whose pain score during follow-up was lower than the preoperative pain score or <60. We evaluated factors affecting survival, including size of the cartilage defect and severity of the preoperative varus deformity. The mechanical axis percentage (MA%) was defined as the percentage by which the mechanical axis bisected the total width of the tibia.ResultsThe survival rate was 88.8% at 5 years and 67.9% at 10 years. Fifty-one patients proceeded to TKA a mean of 6.8 years after microfracture, and 6 knees were categorized as clinical failures. Age, gender, body mass index (BMI), and presence of meniscus lesions did not affect the survival of microfractures. Survival of microfractures in patients with a cartilage defect on the medial femoral condyle <2 cm2 in size was better than that of microfractures in patients with larger defects. Survival of microfractures in patients with MA% >25% was better than that of patients with MA% <25%.ConclusionsAmong 134 knees, 51 knees (38.1%) proceeded to TKA a mean of 6.8 years after microfracture in this study, and 6 knees were categorized as clinical failures. The survival rate was 88.8% at 5 years and decreased over time to 67.9% at 10 years. When considering microfracture, surgeons must consider factors affecting survival, such as size of the cartilage defect and severity of the preoperative varus deformity.Level of EvidenceLevel IV, therapeutic case series.