The effects of fire on woody plant encroachment are exacerbated by succession of trees of decreased palatability

The ingression of woody plants into the grassy layer of savannas and grasslands has become a global concern. The increase of woody plants has been primarily attributed over grazing, fire and more recently to the increase of atmospheric CO2. We used long-term observations and analyses to assess changes in woody vegetation in Ithala Game Reserve (IGR), South Africa. Textural analysis of aerial photographs was used to detect changes in woody vegetation, from 1943 to 2007 in Ithala Game Reserve (IGR), South Africa. Daily rainfall data from 1905 to 2009 were used in a time-series analysis to determine if rainfall patterns have changed. The time-series analysis showed that the low magnitude (0-10 mm) rainfall events decreased from 1916 to 2009 and high magnitude rainfall events increased (10-20 and >20 mm). The mean annual rainfall increased from ∼700 to ∼850 mm from the 1930s to the 2000s. This change in rainfall was a key factor in the increase in woody vegetation from 1943 to 2009. We also used field data from the same reserve collected over 30 years to assess the increases in tree cover. Tree cover and density increased significantly by 32.5% and 657.9 indiv ha−1 respectively, over 64 years. Before the proclamation of IGR in 1972, increases in woody vegetation from 1943 were non-significant. After the proclamation of IGR, herbivore population numbers and spatial distribution influenced the accumulation of grassy biomass required to fuel fires. In areas with reduced fuel loads, the consequential suppression of fire accelerated the rate of woody plant invasion into savannas. The increase in woody vegetation coincided with a decrease in palatable (e.g. Acacia gerrardii and Acacia davyi) and an increase in unpalatable woody plants. The avoidance of the unpalatable trees (e.g. Euclea and Searsia species) by large mammalian herbivores has allowed these trees to increase in density relatively unhindered.