کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4499612 1319038 2006 6 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Analysis of the effect of immunization in rabies time series
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Analysis of the effect of immunization in rabies time series
چکیده انگلیسی

The authors analysed time series of rabies cases diagnosed in Hungary between 1967 and 2001. In Transdanubia (West Hungary), an oral immunization program started in 1992 and in East Hungary in 2001. Both long term and seasonal trends were identified in the time series of rabies cases. In order to characterize the underlying processes governing the behaviour of the epidemic, the fluctuations around the trend were analysed before and after immunization separately. It turned out that the tail of the complementary cumulative distribution functions differ. The tail of the distribution follows an inverse power law (IPL) function and describes the distribution of extreme events. The significant difference in the IPL exponents before and after immunization can be explained by the theory of Highly Optimized Tolerance (HOT).

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Theoretical Biology - Volume 240, Issue 1, 7 May 2006, Pages 72–77
نویسندگان
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