کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی نسخه تمام متن
4943500 1437627 2017 10 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Cost heterogeneity and peak prediction in collective actions
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
هزینه ناهمگنی و پیش بینی پیک در اعمال جمعی
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر هوش مصنوعی
چکیده انگلیسی
The peak of participants indicates the success probability of collective actions. The mathematical model is built to explore the mechanism and prediction values of peaks. Besides of utility heterogeneity, cost heterogeneity is added into to simulate the situation of multiple heterogeneities in reality. Each simulation is run one hundred times repeatedly to get stable expectations and standard deviations of peaks under each combination of parameter values. Based on results of simulation, effects of related factors on peaks is investigated and estimated statistically, making it possible to predict peaks. In addition to forecasting the mean of peaks, the variability of peaks is estimated as well. Therefore, the distribution of peaks is predicted. Utility heterogeneity, cost heterogeneity and the Jointness of supply (J) exert significant effects on the distribution of peaks. It indicates that both utility heterogeneity and cost heterogeneity reduce the values and increase the variability (standard deviation) of peaks. Facilitating chain actions among individuals, heterogeneity promotes the outbreak of collective actions. However, it reduces the peaks and decreases the success probability of collective actions, while homogeneity increases the peak of participants and enhances the success chance of collective actions.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Expert Systems with Applications - Volume 79, 15 August 2017, Pages 130-139
نویسندگان
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