کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
4978247 1452254 2017 11 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
A participatory Bayesian Belief Network approach to explore ambiguity among stakeholders about socio-ecological systems
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
یک رویکرد شبکۀ شبکه اعتقادی بیزی برای کشف ابهام میان ذینفعان در مورد سیستم های اجتماعی-محیطی
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی کامپیوتر نرم افزار
چکیده انگلیسی
Participatory modelling must often deal with the challenge of ambiguity when diverse stakeholders do not share a common understanding of the problem and measures for its solution. In this paper, we propose a framework and a methodology to elicit ambiguities among different stakeholders by using a participatory Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) modelling approach. Our approach consists of four steps undertaken with stakeholders: (1) co-construction of a consensual conceptual model of their socio-ecological system, (2) translation of the model into a consensual Bayesian Net structure, (3) individual parametrization of conditional probabilities, and (4) elicitation of ambiguity through the use of scenarios. We tested this methodology on the ambiguity surrounding the effect of an ecological process on a potential innovation in biological control, and it proved useful in eliciting ambiguity. Further research could explore more conflictual or controversial ambiguities to test this methodology in other settings.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Environmental Modelling & Software - Volume 96, October 2017, Pages 199-209
نویسندگان
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