کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5026655 1470625 2017 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Forecasting the change in the parameters of time series and continuous functions
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
پیش بینی تغییر در پارامترهای سری زمانی و توابع پیوسته
کلمات کلیدی
پیش بینی پیش بینی پارامتری، خودگردانی، سری عملکردی، شبکه عصبی، سری زمانی، پروپراین سه لایه از انتشار مستقیم،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه سایر رشته های مهندسی مهندسی (عمومی)
چکیده انگلیسی

Various classes of algorithms for predicting changes in the parameters of continuous functions and time series that occur in the interval called the prediction horizon are considered. The limited possibilities of methods of decomposition of processes into empirical modes and parametric prediction methods based on the representation of the time series by a generalized polynomial in a system of linearly independent functions are shown. Prognosis algorithms based on autoregression models are obtained. Recurrent equations are obtained that determine the explicit dependence of the estimates of the forecast on the coefficients of the model. The questions of finding estimates of the forecast by minimizing the loss function - the square of the norm of deviation of estimates from the observed values of the time series are considered. The method of generalizing the forecasting algorithm using a linear model represented by functional series or artificial neural network (ANN) is investigated. The system of forecasting with the help of ANN is presented.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Procedia Engineering - Volume 201, 2017, Pages 789-800
نویسندگان
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