کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5052053 | 1476415 | 2007 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Oil spill impact minimization under uncertainty: Evaluating contingency simulations of the Prestige accident
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک
بوم شناسی، تکامل، رفتار و سامانه شناسی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Oil spill impact minimization under uncertainty: Evaluating contingency simulations of the Prestige accident Oil spill impact minimization under uncertainty: Evaluating contingency simulations of the Prestige accident](/preview/png/5052053.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
In order to develop a rationale for conflicts which arise in the context of oil spill contingency policies, we propose an integrated framework of simulation and valuation methods. The model system is tested for the M/T Prestige accident 270Â km off the Spanish coast where it is able to assess ecological and economic oil spill impacts for a set of management options. In the Prestige case, these were given by different hypothetical towing directions. Uncertainty resulting from lacking information about the sinking probability, pollution impacts or different weighting schemes which represent specific interests of main stakeholder groups involved is taken into account by a systematic parameter variation. The results are discussed on the basis of recently available data on recovery costs and sectorial economic losses. We equivocally identified clearly one worst response option and two almost equally evaluated best options. Effects of the uncertainties were relatively moderate so that the approach turned out to be suitable for an ex ante contingency response, as well as for ex post evaluations of spill abatement measures. It also supports a consensus building by making relevant information transparent to a larger group of stakeholders.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Ecological Economics - Volume 61, Issues 2â3, 1 March 2007, Pages 417-428
Journal: Ecological Economics - Volume 61, Issues 2â3, 1 March 2007, Pages 417-428
نویسندگان
Kai W. Wirtz, Nick Baumberger, Susanne Adam, Xin Liu,