کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5055251 | 1371487 | 2010 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Nonlinear dynamics in exchange rate deviations from the monetary fundamentals: An empirical study
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موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
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چکیده انگلیسی
This paper reexamines empirical performance of the monetary exchange rate model with nonlinear dynamics of exchange rate deviation from the monetary fundamentals. First, we apply unit root test of Park and Shintani (2005) to post-Bretton Woods exchange rate data and able to reject the null of unit root deviation from monetary fundamentals against alternative hypothesis of nonlinear stationary process for deutschemark, pound, and Swiss franc. Our empirical results find that exchange rates show high degree of mean-reversion with larger deviation and long periods of overvaluation and undervaluation of dollar. We also find empirical evidence of predictability of the monetary fundamentals at longer horizons.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Economic Modelling - Volume 27, Issue 5, September 2010, Pages 1167-1177
Journal: Economic Modelling - Volume 27, Issue 5, September 2010, Pages 1167-1177
نویسندگان
Bong-Han Kim, Hong-Ghi Min, Young-Kyu Moh,