کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5055357 1371489 2009 6 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Emerging market sovereign spreads, global financial conditions and U.S. macroeconomic news
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Emerging market sovereign spreads, global financial conditions and U.S. macroeconomic news
چکیده انگلیسی
We investigate the impact of global financial conditions, U.S. macroeconomic news and domestic fundamentals on the evolution of EMBI spreads for a panel of 18 emerging market (EM) countries using daily data. To this end, we consider not only the conventional panel cointegration procedures but also the recent common correlated effects method to tackle cross-section dependence that may stem from common global shocks such as contagion. The results suggest that the long-run evolution of EMBI spreads depends on global financial conditions, crises contagion and domestic fundamentals proxied by sovereign ratings. The results from panel equilibrium correction models suggest that EMBI spreads respond substantially also to U.S. macroeconomic news and changes in the Federal Reserve's target interest rates. The magnitude and the sign of the effect of the U.S. news, however, crucially depend on the state of the U.S. economy, such as the presence of inflation dominance.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Economic Modelling - Volume 26, Issue 2, March 2009, Pages 526-531
نویسندگان
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