کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5083932 | 1477821 | 2012 | 19 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Modeling the effect of macroeconomic factors on corporate default and credit rating transitions
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
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چکیده انگلیسی
We explore how general economic conditions impact defaults and major credit rating changes by fitting reduced-form Cox intensity models with a broad range of macroeconomic and firm-specific ratings-related variables. For all corporate issuers in the period 1981-2002 we find both types of factors strongly influenced the risk of a credit event. However, while the effects of ratings-related factors were consistent with expectations and very robust under different specifications, significance levels and even signs for the macro variable coefficients depended heavily on which other variables were included. This sheds light on the disparate results reported in earlier studies.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: International Review of Economics & Finance - Volume 21, Issue 1, January 2012, Pages 87-105
Journal: International Review of Economics & Finance - Volume 21, Issue 1, January 2012, Pages 87-105
نویسندگان
Stephen Figlewski, Halina Frydman, Weijian Liang,