کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5090992 | 1375655 | 2008 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The Samuelson hypothesis in futures markets: An analysis using intraday data
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موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
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چکیده انگلیسی
This paper considers the Samuelson hypothesis, which argues that the futures price volatility increases as the futures contract approaches its expiration. Utilizing intraday data from 20 futures markets in six futures exchanges, we find strong support for the Samuelson hypothesis in agricultural futures. However, the Samuelson hypothesis does not hold for other futures contracts. We also provide supporting evidence that the 'negative covariance' hypothesis is the key factor for the empirical support of the Samuelson hypothesis. In addition, our findings remain largely unaltered even after we control for seasonality and liquidity effects.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance - Volume 32, Issue 4, April 2008, Pages 489-500
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance - Volume 32, Issue 4, April 2008, Pages 489-500
نویسندگان
Huu Nhan Duong, Petko S. Kalev,