کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5095779 1376484 2015 61 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
K-state switching models with time-varying transition distributions-Does loan growth signal stronger effects of variables on inflation?
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات آمار و احتمال
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
K-state switching models with time-varying transition distributions-Does loan growth signal stronger effects of variables on inflation?
چکیده انگلیسی
Two Bayesian sampling schemes are outlined to estimate a time-varying Markov switching transition distribution. Using data augmentation transforms the non-linear, non-normal logit transition model into a linear-normal one. A partial representation of the difference in random utility model in combination with random permutation sampling provides highest sampling efficiency. The level of the covariate in the transition distribution which balances the persistence across states is defined to be the threshold level. For illustration, we estimate a two-pillar Phillips curve for the euro area, in which loan growth affects the transition distribution.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Econometrics - Volume 187, Issue 1, July 2015, Pages 82-94
نویسندگان
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