کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5098957 | 1376972 | 2010 | 18 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The effect of mean reversion on entry and exit decisions under uncertainty
دانلود مقاله + سفارش ترجمه
دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی
رایگان برای ایرانیان
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
کنترل و بهینه سازی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: The effect of mean reversion on entry and exit decisions under uncertainty The effect of mean reversion on entry and exit decisions under uncertainty](/preview/png/5098957.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
Many economic variables of interest exhibit a tendency to revert to predictable long-run levels. However, mean reverting processes are rarely used in investment models in the literature. In most models, geometric Brownian motion processes are used for tractability. In this paper, a firm's entry and exit decisions when the output equilibrium price follows an exogenous mean reverting process are examined, and then compared to the decisions of the firm under the usually employed assumption of lognormally distributed output price, presented in Dixit (1989a). By extending previous work by Sarkar (2003) to account for costly reversibility, we show that mean reversion has a significant effect, not only on firm-specific entry and exit decisions, but also on the balance of entering and exiting firms in an industry/market. Thus it would be erroneous to use the more tractable geometric Brownian motion process as an approximation for a mean-reverting process in models and investigations of aggregate industry investment.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control - Volume 34, Issue 4, April 2010, Pages 725-742
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control - Volume 34, Issue 4, April 2010, Pages 725-742
نویسندگان
Andrianos E. Tsekrekos,