کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5099168 1376990 2009 19 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Comparing DSGE-VAR forecasting models: How big are the differences?
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات کنترل و بهینه سازی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Comparing DSGE-VAR forecasting models: How big are the differences?
چکیده انگلیسی

I generate priors for a vector autoregression (VAR) from a standard real business cycle (RBC) model, an RBC model with capital-adjustment costs and habit formation, and a sticky-price model with an unaccommodating monetary authority. The response of hours worked to a TFP shock differs sharply across these models. I compare the accuracy of forecasts made from each of the resulting dynamic stochastic general equilibrium vector autoregression (DSGE-VAR) models. Despite having different structural characteristics, the DSGE-VARs are comparable in terms of forecasting performance. As in previous work, DSGE-VARs compare favorably with atheoretical VARs.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control - Volume 33, Issue 4, April 2009, Pages 864-882
نویسندگان
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