کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5105245 | 1481128 | 2017 | 19 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
How the New International Goal for Child Mortality is Unfair to Sub-Saharan Africa (Again)
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
چگونه هدف جدید بین المللی مرگ و میر کودکان ناعادلانه است تا کشورهای جنوب صحرای آفریقا (دوباره)
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) include level-end goals for both under-five and neonatal mortality to be obtained by 2030: no more than 25 and 12 deaths per 1,000 births, respectively. Recent accelerations in the rate of reduction in under-five mortality have been cited as a cause for optimism. In this paper, we show that changes in mortality rates are subject to mean reversion. Hence, high rates observed recently for Sub-Saharan Africa make for an overly optimistic estimate of future reductions. Taking this into account in projecting mortality rates until 2030, we find that only very few countries in Sub-Saharan Africa are likely to attain the new targets while a majority of countries elsewhere are likely to attain the target or have done so already. We also show that while MDG4 has been rightly criticized as 'unfair' to Sub-Saharan Africa in the past, a relative target may have been more appropriate today and would be relevant for all countries. We also offer a discussion of likely challenges the region faces in making further inroads against preventable deaths.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: World Development - Volume 90, February 2017, Pages 128-146
Journal: World Development - Volume 90, February 2017, Pages 128-146
نویسندگان
Simon Lange, Stephan Klasen,