کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5129976 1489855 2017 5 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Credit default prediction and parabolic potential theory
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات آمار و احتمال
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Credit default prediction and parabolic potential theory
چکیده انگلیسی

We consider an approach to credit risk in which the information about the time of bankruptcy is modelled using a Brownian bridge that starts at zero and is conditioned to equal zero when the default occurs. This raises the question whether the default can be foreseen by observing the evolution of the bridge process. Unlike in most standard models for credit risk, we allow the distribution of the default time to be singular. Using a well known fact from parabolic potential theory, we provide a sufficient condition for its predictability.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Statistics & Probability Letters - Volume 124, May 2017, Pages 121-125
نویسندگان
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