کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
5473699 | 1399131 | 2016 | 8 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
سایر رشته های مهندسی
مهندسی دریا (اقیانوس)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model Development of an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model](/preview/png/5473699.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
Extreme storm tide usually causes flooding of low-lying land in a coastal city. Hence, developing an efficient and accurate forecasting model for issuing a timely warning is important. In this study, an adaptive Kalman filter-based storm tide forecasting model was proposed and applied to the inner Harbor of Macau. The model is a dynamic linear regression model with the harmonic tidal prediction, wind speed, wind direction and atmospheric pressure as its input parameters. With persistence forecast of weather assumed during the prediction period, the model was tested with 40 cases of storm tide induced by tropical cyclones in Macau between 2005 and 2012. Success was found for forecasts with lead times up to 3 hours. The proposed adaptive model is considered a practical tool for storm tide forecast in small coastal cities.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Hydrodynamics, Ser. B - Volume 28, Issue 6, December 2016, Pages 1029-1036
Journal: Journal of Hydrodynamics, Ser. B - Volume 28, Issue 6, December 2016, Pages 1029-1036
نویسندگان
K.M. (è«å¯æ), U.H. (é»å®è½©), K.I. (许åè´¤),