کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
552741 | 873266 | 2015 | 12 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Capturing the high-risk environment of the transition economy in Bulgaria—a simulation-based DSS
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی کامپیوتر
سیستم های اطلاعاتی
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چکیده انگلیسی
Eastern European countries have undergone a transition from centralized economic planning to more open economic systems. Hard data based upon past experience are inappropriate for decision making in this radically changed environment. A team of Bulgarian and U.S. researchers utilized system dynamics simulation to model the microeconomic environment of a Bulgarian winery expanding into regional and international markets. Expert opinion was provided for both micro- and macroeconomic factors. Given the uncertainty of the data and the ambiguity in the experts' opinions, fuzzy logic was used to model the transitional economic firm's decision making.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Decision Support Systems - Volume 42, Issue 4, January 2007, Pages 2004–2015
Journal: Decision Support Systems - Volume 42, Issue 4, January 2007, Pages 2004–2015
نویسندگان
David L. Olson, Margaret Shipley, Madeline Johnson, Nikola Yankov,