کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5543570 1402556 2017 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Point of truth calibration for disease prioritisation-A case study of prioritisation of exotic diseases for the pig industry in Australia
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
نقطه ای از کالیبراسیون حقیقت برای اولویت بندی بیماری - مطالعه موردی اولویت بندی بیماری های عجیب و غریب برای صنعت خوک در استرالیا
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم دامی و جانورشناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
The best validation of producers' estimates was achieved using a model derived from all responses. The highest weighted criteria were attack rate, case fatality rate and market loss, and the highest priority diseases were the vesicular diseases followed by swine fevers and zoonotic encephalitides. Comparison of results with a previous study in which probabilistic inversion was used to prioritise diseases for the same group of producers highlighted differences between disease prioritisation methods. Overall, this study demonstrated that POTCal can be used for disease prioritisation. An advantage of POTCal is that valid models can be developed that reflect decision-makers' heuristics. Specifically, this evaluation of the use of POTCal in animal health illustrates how the judgements of participants can be incorporated into a decision-making process. Further research is needed to investigate the influence of scenarios presented to participants during POTCal evaluations, and the robustness of this approach applied to different disease issues (e.g. exotic versus endemic) and production types (e.g. intensive versus extensive). To our knowledge, this is the first report of the use of POTCal for disease prioritisation.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 139, Part A, 1 April 2017, Pages 20-32
نویسندگان
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