The Population-Based Long-Term Impact of Anticoagulant and Antiplatelet Therapies in Low-Risk Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), the risk of stroke risk is a significant concern. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc ≤2 scoring have been used to stratify patients into categories of risk. Without randomized, prospective data, the need and type of long-term antithrombotic medications for thromboembolism prevention in lower risk AF patients remains controversial. We sought to define the long-term impact of anticoagulant and antiplatelet therapy use in AF patients at low risk of stroke. A total of 56,764 patients diagnosed with AF and a CHADS2 score of 0 or 1, or CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0, 1, or 2 were studied. Antithrombotic therapy was defined as aspirin, clopidogrel (antiplatelet therapy), or warfarin monotherapy (anticoagulation) initiated within 6 months of AF diagnosis. End points included all-cause mortality, cerebrovascular accident, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and major bleed. The average age of the population was 67.0 ± 14.1 years and 56.6% were male. In total, 9,682 received aspirin, 1,802 received clopidogrel, 1,164 received warfarin, and 46,042 did not receive any antithrombotic therapy. Event rates differed between patients with a CHADS2 score of 0 and 1; 18.5% and 37.8% had died, 1.7% and 3.4% had a stroke, 2.2% and 3.2% had a TIA, and 14% and 12.5% had a major bleed, respectively (p <0.0001 for all). The rates of stroke, TIA, and major bleeding increased as antithrombotic therapy intensity increased from no therapy, to aspirin, to clopidogrel, and to warfarin (all p <0.0001). Similar outcomes were observed in low-risk CHA2DS2-VASc scores (0 to 2). In low-risk AF patients with a CHADS2 score of 0 to 1 or CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 to 2, the use of aspirin, clopidogrel, and warfarin was not associated with lower stroke rates at 5 years compared with no therapy. However, the use of antithrombotic agents was associated with a significant risk of bleed.