کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5757039 1622627 2017 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Development of a hybrid model to predict construction and demolition waste: China as a case study
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
توسعه یک مدل ترکیبی برای پیش بینی ساخت و ساز و تخریب زباله: چین به عنوان مطالعه مورد
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه علوم زمین و سیارات مهندسی ژئوتکنیک و زمین شناسی مهندسی
چکیده انگلیسی
Construction and demolition waste (C&DW) is currently a worldwide issue, and the situation is the worst in China due to a rapid increase in the construction industry and the short life span of China's buildings. To create an opportunity out of this problem, comprehensive prevention measures and effective management strategies are urgently needed. One major gap in the literature of waste management is a lack of estimations on future C&DW generation. Therefore, this paper presents a forecasting procedure for C&DW in China that can forecast the quantity of each component in such waste. The proposed approach is based on a GM-SVR model that improves the forecasting effectiveness of the gray model (GM), which is achieved by adjusting the residual series by a support vector regression (SVR) method and a transition matrix that aims to estimate the discharge of each component in the C&DW. Through the proposed method, future C&DW volume are listed and analyzed containing their potential components and distribution in different provinces in China. Besides, model testing process provides mathematical evidence to validate the proposed model is an effective way to give future information of C&DW for policy makers.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Waste Management - Volume 59, January 2017, Pages 350-361
نویسندگان
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