کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
5793562 1554174 2014 13 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Exploring cattle movements in Belgium
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
بررسی جنبش های گاو در بلژیک
کلمات کلیدی
جنبش گاو، فضایی، موقتی دو زبانه منفی وزن سابقه و هدف:
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری علوم کشاورزی و بیولوژیک علوم دامی و جانورشناسی
چکیده انگلیسی
A closer inspection of the spatial and temporal patterns of cattle movement using a weighted negative binomial model, revealed a significant short-distance movement of bovine which could be an important factor contributing to the local spreading of a disease. The model however revealed hot spot areas of movement in Belgium; four areas in the Walloon region (Luxembourg, Hainaut, Namur and Liege) were found as hot spot areas while East and West Flanders are important “receivers” of movement. This implies that an introduction of a disease to these Walloon regions could result in a spread toward the East and West Flanders regions, as what happened in the case of Bluetongue BTV-8 outbreak in 2006. The temporal component in the model also revealed a linear trend and short- and long-term seasonality in the cattle movement with a peak around spring and autumn. The result of this explorative analysis enabled the identification of “hot spots” in time and space which is important in enhancing any existing monitoring and surveillance system.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Preventive Veterinary Medicine - Volume 116, Issues 1–2, 1 September 2014, Pages 89-101
نویسندگان
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