Modeling and forecasting MODIS-based Fire Potential Index on a pixel basis using time series models

Results show that 93.18% of the estimated models (EMs) are highly accurate and present good forecasting ability, precisely reproducing the original FPINDWI dynamics. Best results were found in the Mediterranean areas dominated by grasslands; slightly lower accuracies were found in the temperate and alpine regions, and especially in the transition areas between them and the Mediterranean region.