کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
6963005 | 1452278 | 2015 | 15 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Modelling olive trees and grapevines in a changing climate
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
مدل سازی درختان زیتون و انگور در شرایط آب و هوایی متغیر است
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کلمات کلیدی
محصولات درختی، تغییر آب و هوا، مدل های شبیه سازی، بازده محصول،
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی کامپیوتر
نرم افزار
چکیده انگلیسی
The models developed for simulating olive tree and grapevine yields were reviewed by focussing on the major limitations of these models for their application in a changing climate. Empirical models, which exploit the statistical relationship between climate and yield, and process based models, where crop behaviour is defined by a range of relationships describing the main plant processes, were considered. The results highlighted that the application of empirical models to future climatic conditions (i.e. future climate scenarios) is unreliable since important statistical approaches and predictors are still lacking. While process-based models have the potential for application in climate-change impact assessments, our analysis demonstrated how the simulation of many processes affected by warmer and CO2-enriched conditions may give rise to important biases. Conversely, some crop model improvements could be applied at this stage since specific sub-models accounting for the effect of elevated temperatures and CO2 concentration were already developed.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Environmental Modelling & Software - Volume 72, October 2015, Pages 387-401
Journal: Environmental Modelling & Software - Volume 72, October 2015, Pages 387-401
نویسندگان
Marco Moriondo, Roberto Ferrise, Giacomo Trombi, Lorenzo Brilli, Camilla Dibari, Marco Bindi,