Application of ANFIS to predict crop yield based on different energy inputs

In this paper, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) was used to predict the grain yield of irrigated wheat in Abyek town of Ghazvin province, Iran. Due to large number of inputs (eight inputs) for ANFIS, the input vector was clustered into two groups and two networks were trained. Inputs for ANFIS 1 were diesel fuel, fertilizer and electricity energies and for ANFIS 2 were human labor, machinery, chemicals, water for irrigation and seed energies. The RMSE and R2 values were found 0.013 and 0.996 for ANFIS 1 and 0.018 and 0.992 for ANFIS 2, respectively. These results showed that ANFIS 1 and ANFIS 2 could well predict the yield. Finally, the predicted values of the two networks were used as inputs to the third ANFIS. The results indicated that the energy inputs in ANFIS 1 have a greater impact on the final yield production than other energy inputs. Also, the RMSE and R2 values for ANFIS 3 were 0.013 and 0.996, respectively. These results showed that ANFIS 1 and the combined network (ANFIS 3) could both predict the grain yield with good accuracy.

► The relationship between energy inputs and outputs are modeled by ANFIS.
► The fertilizer, fuel and electricity energy had high share of total input energy.
► With an increase in fertilizer energy the yield goes up to a point and then falls.
► The good results of R2 and MSE could predict the yield by ANFIS properly.
► The effects of energy inputs on the wheat yield are shown by surface images.