کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7358268 | 1478573 | 2017 | 45 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Staying at zero with affine processes: An application to term structure modelling
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
آمار و احتمال
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چکیده انگلیسی
We build an Affine Term Structure Model that provides non-negative yields at any maturity and that is able to accommodate a short-term rate that stays at the zero lower bound (ZLB) for extended periods of time while longer-term rates feature high volatilities. We introduce these features through a new univariate non-negative affine process called ARG-Zero, and its multivariate affine counterpart (VARG), entailing conditional distributions with zero-point masses. The affine property of this new class of processes implies both explicit bond pricing and quasi-explicit lift-off probability formulas. We provide an empirical application to Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields, observed weekly from June 1995 to May 2014 with maturities from six months to ten years. Our four-factor specification is able to closely match yield levels and to capture conditional yield variances.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Econometrics - Volume 201, Issue 2, December 2017, Pages 348-366
Journal: Journal of Econometrics - Volume 201, Issue 2, December 2017, Pages 348-366
نویسندگان
Alain Monfort, Fulvio Pegoraro, Jean-Paul Renne, Guillaume Roussellet,