کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7358854 1478658 2018 33 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
What can we learn about news shocks from the late 1990s and early 2000s boom-bust period?
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات کنترل و بهینه سازی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
What can we learn about news shocks from the late 1990s and early 2000s boom-bust period?
چکیده انگلیسی
The major boom-bust period of 1997-2003 is commonly viewed as an expectations-driven episode in which overly optimistic expectations about information and communications technology were followed by their downward revision. This paper employs a novel approach to identifying the news shocks of this period that restricts the identified shock to have its maximal three-year moving average of realizations in the 1997-1999 boom period, followed by a negative average in the bust period. I provide robust evidence that this shock raises output, hours, investment, and consumption, and accounts for the majority of their business cycle variation.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control - Volume 87, February 2018, Pages 94-105
نویسندگان
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