کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7359010 1478728 2018 34 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Development, fertility and childbearing age: A Unified Growth Theory
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
توسعه، باروری و سن باروری: یک نظریه رشد یکپارچه
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
چکیده انگلیسی
During the last century, fertility has exhibited, in industrialized economies, two distinct trends: the cohort total fertility rate follows a decreasing pattern, while the cohort average age at motherhood exhibits a U-shaped pattern. This paper proposes a Unified Growth Theory aimed at rationalizing those two demographic stylized facts. We develop a three-period OLG model with two periods of fertility, and show how a traditional economy, where individuals do not invest in education, and where income rises push towards advancing births, can progressively converge towards a modern economy, where individuals invest in education, and where income rises encourage postponing births. Our findings are illustrated numerically by replicating the dynamics of the quantum and the tempo of births for cohorts 1906-1975 of the Human Fertility Database.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory - Volume 177, September 2018, Pages 461-494
نویسندگان
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