کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7375986 1480079 2018 28 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Universality of accelerating change
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
جهانی شدن تغییر سریع
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات فیزیک ریاضی
چکیده انگلیسی
On large time scales the progress of human technology follows an exponential growth trend that is termed accelerating change. The exponential growth trend is commonly considered to be the amalgamated effect of consecutive technology revolutions - where the progress carried in by each technology revolution follows an S-curve, and where the aging of each technology revolution drives humanity to push for the next technology revolution. Thus, as a collective, mankind is the 'intelligent designer' of accelerating change. In this paper we establish that the exponential growth trend - and only this trend - emerges universally, on large time scales, from systems that combine together two elements: randomness and amalgamation. Hence, the universal generation of accelerating change can be attained by systems with no 'intelligent designer'.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications - Volume 494, 15 March 2018, Pages 430-445
نویسندگان
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