کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7398752 | 1481261 | 2016 | 11 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
An economy-wide evaluation of new power generation in South Africa: The case of Medupi and Kusile
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
مهندسی انرژی
مهندسی انرژی و فناوری های برق
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: An economy-wide evaluation of new power generation in South Africa: The case of Medupi and Kusile An economy-wide evaluation of new power generation in South Africa: The case of Medupi and Kusile](/preview/png/7398752.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
This paper investigates the role that the building of two new power stations, Medupi and Kusile, will play in facilitating future economic activity in South Africa. We use a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate the economy-wide effects of these new power stations. Our simulation results also provide insight into how much the local economy has lost due to inadequate electricity supply in the period leading up to the construction of Medupi and Kusile. We find that the decision to build additional power generation capacity was necessary and justified, and that the failure to sooner recognise the need for expansion of the country's electricity generation capacity and subsequent delays in commissioning Medupi and Kusile, likely cost the economy over R110bn in lost production. Additional analysis, in which a further two-year delay in the construction of Medupi and Kusile is simulated, shows that such an event will cause the economy to perform below baseline projections up to 2022.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 97, October 2016, Pages 450-460
Journal: Energy Policy - Volume 97, October 2016, Pages 450-460
نویسندگان
Jessika Bohlmann, Heinrich Bohlmann, Roula Inglesi-Lotz, Jan van Heerden,