کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
7495815 1485753 2018 10 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Dynamics of dengue disease with human and vector mobility
ترجمه فارسی عنوان
دینامیک بیماری دنگ با تحرک انسان و بردار
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم پزشکی و سلامت پزشکی و دندانپزشکی سیاست های بهداشت و سلامت عمومی
چکیده انگلیسی
Dengue is a vector borne disease transmitted to humans by Aedes aegypti mosquitoes carrying virus of different serotypes. Dengue exhibits complex spatial and temporal dynamics, influenced by various biological, human and environmental factors. In this work, we study the dengue spread for a single serotype (DENV-1) including statistical models of human mobility with exponential step length distribution, by using reaction-diffusion equations and Stochastic Cellular Automata (SCA) approach. We analyze the spatial and temporal spreading of the disease using parameters from field studies. We choose mosquito density data from Ahmedabad city as a proxy for climate data in our SCA model. We find an interesting result that although human mobility makes the infection spread faster, there is an apparent early suppression of the epidemic compared to immobile humans. The disease extinction time is lesser when human mobility is included.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology - Volume 25, June 2018, Pages 57-66
نویسندگان
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