کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
7547249 | 1489728 | 2018 | 19 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Confidence is epistemic probability for empirical science
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موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه
ریاضیات
ریاضیات کاربردی
چکیده انگلیسی
In its orthodoxy standard frequentist statistics deals only with aleatory probability, suppressing the intuitive epistemic probability representing inferential uncertainty. Confidence distributions, which are posterior distributions not based on any Bayesian priors, are discussed in nontechnical terms, with emphasis on the confidence curve. The correspondence between confidence curves and likelihoods allows independent confidence curves and confidence intervals to be integrated. Confidence and (serious) p-values are interpreted as epistemic probabilities, which do not fully follow ordinary probability calculus. Dimension reduction and other operations might be done on the likelihood related to the confidence curve. Confidence distributions and objective Bayes have much in common.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference - Volume 195, May 2018, Pages 116-125
Journal: Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference - Volume 195, May 2018, Pages 116-125
نویسندگان
Tore Schweder,