کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
764614 896994 2011 7 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Mathematical models of natural gas consumption
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه مهندسی انرژی انرژی (عمومی)
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Mathematical models of natural gas consumption
چکیده انگلیسی

In this paper we consider the problem of natural gas consumption hourly forecast on the basis of hourly movement of temperature and natural gas consumption in the preceding period. There are various methods and approaches for solving this problem in the literature. Some mathematical models with linear and nonlinear model functions relating to natural gas consumption forecast with the past natural gas consumption data, temperature data and temperature forecast data are mentioned. The methods are tested on concrete examples referring to temperature and natural gas consumption for the area of the city of Osijek (Croatia) from the beginning of the year 2008. The results show that most acceptable forecast is provided by mathematical models in which natural gas consumption and temperature are related explicitly.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Energy Conversion and Management - Volume 52, Issue 3, March 2011, Pages 1721–1727
نویسندگان
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