Inverse uncertainty quantification of trace physical model parameters using BFBT benchmark data

The objective of the present work is to perform the sensitivity analysis of the physical model parameters in code TRACE and calculate their uncertainties using MLE, MAP, and MCMC algorithms. The OECD/NEA BWR Full-size fine-mesh Bundle Test (BFBT) data is used to quantify uncertainty of selected physical models of TRACE code. The BFBT is based on a multi-rod assembly with measured data available for single or two-phase pressure drop, axial and radial void fraction distributions, and critical power for a wide range of system conditions. In this work, the steady-state cross-sectional averaged void fraction distribution is used as the input data for inverse uncertainty quantification (IUQ) algorithms, and the selected physical model's probability distribution function (PDF) is the desired output quantity.