کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
926509 | 921873 | 2012 | 6 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Updating: Learning versus supposing
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موضوعات مرتبط
علوم زیستی و بیوفناوری
علم عصب شناسی
علوم اعصاب شناختی
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چکیده انگلیسی
Bayesian orthodoxy posits a tight relationship between conditional probability and updating. Namely, the probability of an event A after learning B should equal the conditional probability of A given B prior to learning B. We examine whether ordinary judgment conforms to the orthodox view. In three experiments we found substantial differences between the conditional probability of an event A supposing an event B compared to the probability of A after having learned B. Specifically, supposing B appears to have less impact on the credibility of A than learning that B is true.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Cognition - Volume 124, Issue 3, September 2012, Pages 373–378
Journal: Cognition - Volume 124, Issue 3, September 2012, Pages 373–378
نویسندگان
Jiaying Zhao, Vincenzo Crupi, Katya Tentori, Branden Fitelson, Daniel Osherson,