کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
9548628 | 1371517 | 2005 | 20 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
An oversimplified inquiry into the sources of exchange rate variability
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موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
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چکیده انگلیسی
Real exchange rates as well as relative price level and output movements are decomposed into components associated with nominal shocks as well as shocks to aggregate supply and aggregate demand. In contrast to previous analyses of such decompositions based on statistical vector autoregression (VAR) analysis, this study takes as a starting point a simple textbook model of exchange rate determination, augments it by allowing for suitably defined random shocks and transforms it into a triangular format resembling the identification procedure of the VAR methodology. Applied to major bilateral exchange rate series, the decomposition suggests that real exchange rate variability is mostly driven by shocks to aggregate demand, particularly in the longer run. Overall, the evidence is roughly in line with previous such decompositions obtained from statistical VARs.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Economic Modelling - Volume 22, Issue 3, May 2005, Pages 439-458
Journal: Economic Modelling - Volume 22, Issue 3, May 2005, Pages 439-458
نویسندگان
Bernd Kempa,