کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
9548644 1371519 2005 12 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Has the U.S. economy really become less correlated with that of the rest of the world?
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Has the U.S. economy really become less correlated with that of the rest of the world?
چکیده انگلیسی
Cross-country correlation coefficients indicate that the U.S. economy has become less correlated with that of the rest of the world during the last 40 years. However, once adjustments for the lower variability experienced in the U.S. since the early 1980s are made, the cross-country correlation coefficient for output is revealed to have increased. A simple time series model is also presented to challenge the widely held view that lower (or higher) volatility causes correlations to be biased downward (or upward). This model could yield higher correlations in an environment with lower variability and vice versa, and empirical evidence, among some of the macroeconomic variables studied in this paper, is provided for the model.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Economic Modelling - Volume 22, Issue 1, January 2005, Pages 147-158
نویسندگان
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