کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
956869 928496 2010 15 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
چکیده انگلیسی

We study the problem of testing an expert whose theory has a learnable and predictive parametric representation, as do standard processes used in statistics. We design a test in which the expert is required to submit a date T by which he will have learned enough to deliver a sharp, testable prediction about future frequencies. We show that this test passes an expert who knows the data-generating process and cannot be manipulated by a uninformed one. Such a test is not possible if the theory is unrestricted.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory - Volume 145, Issue 6, November 2010, Pages 2203–2217
نویسندگان
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