کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
957716 928556 2007 20 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
When can changes in expectations cause business cycle fluctuations in neo-classical settings?
کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
When can changes in expectations cause business cycle fluctuations in neo-classical settings?
چکیده انگلیسی

It is often argued that changes in expectation are an important driving force of the business cycle. However, it is well known that changes in expectations cannot generate positive co-movement between consumption, investment and employment in the most standard neo-classical business cycle models. This gives rise to the question of whether changes in expectation can cause business cycle fluctuations in any neo-classical setting or whether such a phenomenon is inherently related to market imperfections. This paper offers a systematic exploration of this issue. Our finding is that expectation driven business cycle fluctuations can arise in neo-classical models when one allows for a sufficiently rich description of the production technology; however, such a structure is rarely allowed or explored in macro-models. In particular, we identify a multi-sector setting and a setting with a costly distribution system in which expectation driven business cycles can arise.

ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Economic Theory - Volume 135, Issue 1, July 2007, Pages 458–477
نویسندگان
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