کد مقاله | کد نشریه | سال انتشار | مقاله انگلیسی | نسخه تمام متن |
---|---|---|---|---|
966033 | 930918 | 2010 | 19 صفحه PDF | دانلود رایگان |
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence
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کلمات کلیدی
موضوعات مرتبط
علوم انسانی و اجتماعی
اقتصاد، اقتصادسنجی و امور مالی
اقتصاد و اقتصادسنجی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
![عکس صفحه اول مقاله: The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence](/preview/png/966033.png)
چکیده انگلیسی
The evidence provided in this paper suggests that the duration of expansions and contractions is not only dependent on their actual age: the duration of expansions is also positively dependent on the behaviour of the variables in the OECD composite leading indicator and on private investment, and negatively affected by the price of oil and by the occurrence of a peak in the US business cycle; the duration of a contraction is negatively affected by its actual age and by the duration of the previous expansion.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Macroeconomics - Volume 32, Issue 1, March 2010, Pages 347-365
Journal: Journal of Macroeconomics - Volume 32, Issue 1, March 2010, Pages 347-365
نویسندگان
VÃtor Castro,