کد مقاله کد نشریه سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی نسخه تمام متن
966324 1479275 2009 16 صفحه PDF دانلود رایگان
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله ISI
Evolution of heterogeneous beliefs and asset overvaluation
موضوعات مرتبط
مهندسی و علوم پایه ریاضیات ریاضیات کاربردی
پیش نمایش صفحه اول مقاله
Evolution of heterogeneous beliefs and asset overvaluation
چکیده انگلیسی
I analyze a model in which different agents have different non-rational expectations about the future price and cash flows of a risky asset. The beliefs in the society evolve according to a very general class of evolution functions that are monotone; that is if one type has increased its share in the population then all types with higher profit should also have increased their shares. I show that the price of the risky asset converges to the risk-neutral fundamental price even though all agents in the economy are risk-averse. The risky asset thus becomes overvalued as compared to the equilibrium with rational expectations. The overvaluation is a result of the evolution of beliefs and does not rely on such asymmetric assumptions as short-sale constraints or optimistic bias.
ناشر
Database: Elsevier - ScienceDirect (ساینس دایرکت)
Journal: Journal of Mathematical Economics - Volume 45, Issues 3–4, 20 March 2009, Pages 277-292
نویسندگان
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